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长三角地区产业布局选择:多样化还是专业化

The Choice of Industrial Layout in the Yangtze River Delta: Diversification or Specialization

  • 摘要: 以长三角城市群41市为样本,利用2009—2018年的面板数据,构建动态面板计量经济学模型,采用系统GMM方法实证分析专业化、多样化对长三角城市群内部城市经济增长的影响。研究发现,产业专业化有利于促进城市经济增长,且专业化程度与经济增长之间存在倒“U”型非线性关系;产业多样化不利于促进城市经济增长,且多样化程度与经济增长之间存在正“U”型非线性关系。因此,城市产业发展战略需要立足自身特征,适度调整产业结构;城市产业布局需要在长三角产业共生网络寻找立足点,共同推进长三角一体化高质量发展。

     

    Abstract: Using a sample of 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta city cluster, a dynamic panel measurement econometric model is constructed using panel data from 2009-2018, and a systematic GMM approach is used to empirically analyze the effects of specialization and diversification on the economic growth of cities within the Yangtze River Delta city cluster. It is found that industrial specialization is conducive to promoting urban economic growth. There is an inverse “U” non-linear relationship between the degree of specialization and industrial growth. Industrial diversification is not conducive to promoting urban economic growth. There is a positive “U” non-linear relationship between the degree of diversification and industrial growth. There is a positive U-shaped nonlinear relationship between the degree of diversification and industrial growth. Therefore, the city's industrial development strategy needs to be based on its own characteristics and moderate adjustment of industrial structure; the city's industrial layout needs to find a foothold in the Yangtze River Delta industrial symbiosis network and jointly promote the integrated high-quality development of the Yangtze River Delta.

     

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