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平台经济与实体经济耦合协调的时空演进及障碍因子

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Obstacle Factors of the Coupling Coordination Between Platform Economy and Real Economy

  • 摘要: 利用熵值法、耦合协调度模型测算2011—2021年我国31个省份平台经济与实体经济发展的耦合协调水平,并利用静态Kernel密度估计、传统Markov链、收敛模型、障碍度及Tobit回归模型刻画了其动态演进规律及影响因子。研究发现:(1)平台经济与实体经济发展耦合协调度总体呈现上升趋势,西部地区耦合协调度极化现象明显,全国及东部地区无极化现象,中部地区极化现象也逐渐消失。(2)随着时间的推移,耦合协调度各等级状态之间的转移概率增加,与高等级状态省份相邻时,能够促进自身向上转移概率。(3)全国及三大地区不存在σ收敛,但均存在β收敛。绝对β收敛下,东西部地区的收敛速度高于全国平均水平,中部地区收敛速度相对较低;条件β收敛下,东部、中部、西部收敛速度均有一定程度的提高。(4)耦合协调度的主要内部障碍因子集中在实体经济效率、平台经济交易、平台经济活动三个方面;外部因子中经济环境、科研支出能够有效促进耦合协调度的提升。

     

    Abstract: This study employs the entropy method and coupling coordination degree model to measure the coupling coordination level between platform economy and real economy development in 31 Chinese provinces from 2011 to 2021. Static Kernel density estimation, traditional Markov chain, convergence models, obstacle degree model, and Tobit regression are utilized to characterize its dynamic evolution patterns and influencing factors. The findings reveal that: (1) The coupling coordination degree demonstrates an overall upward trend, with evident polarization in western regions. While no polarization is observed at national level and in eastern regions, it gradually diminishes in central regions. (2) Transition probabilities between coordination levels increase over time, particularly that proximity to provinces with higher coordination levels enhances upward transition probabilities. (3) Although σ-convergence is absent nationwide and across three major regions, β-convergence exists universally. Under absolute β-convergence, eastern and western regions exhibit faster convergence speeds than the national average, while central region shows relatively slower convergence. Conditional β-convergence further accelerates convergence speeds across all regions. (4) Internal obstacle factors primarily concentrate on real economy efficiency, platform transaction volume, and platform economic activities. Among external factors, economic environment and R&D expenditure significantly promote coordination enhancement.

     

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