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人口规模分布、产业结构优化与区域经济协调发展

Population Size Distribution, Industrial Structure Optimization and Coordinated Development of Regional Economy

  • 摘要: 区域经济协调发展关键在于人口规模分布与产业结构优化之间的协调。本文基于我国31个省(区、市)2011—2021年的面板数据,实证检验人口规模分布对区域经济协调发展的影响机制。研究表明:人口规模分布促进区域经济协调发展;产业结构优化在人口规模分布对区域经济协调发展作用过程中发挥中介效应;人口规模分布对于区域经济协调发展的影响存在地区异质性,东部地区呈现显著促进作用。因此,应提高中心城市承载能力、打造现代化产业生态系统、构建区域发展共同体,以推动区域经济协调发展。

     

    Abstract: The key to coordinated development of regional economy lies in the coordination between population size distribution and industrial structure optimization. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces (districts and cities) in China from 2011—2021, this paper empirically tests the impact mechanism of population size distribution on the coordinated development of regional economy. Research has shown that population size distribution promotes coordinated regional economic development; The optimization of industrial structure plays a mediating role in the coordinated development of regional economy through population size distribution; There is regional heterogeneity in the impact of population size distribution on regional economic coordination, with the eastern region showing a significant promoting effect. To this end, we need to improve the carrying capacity of central cities, build modern industrial ecosystems, and build regional development communities to promote coordinated regional economic development.

     

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