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李俊, 周玲. 基于乡镇单元的安徽省2000-2015年人口演变分析[J]. 安徽工业大学学报社会科学版, 2020, 37(5): 9-13. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-9247.2020.05.002
引用本文: 李俊, 周玲. 基于乡镇单元的安徽省2000-2015年人口演变分析[J]. 安徽工业大学学报社会科学版, 2020, 37(5): 9-13. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-9247.2020.05.002
LI Jun, ZHOU Ling. Analysis of Population Evolution of Anhui Province from 2000 to 2015 Based on Township Units[J]. Journal of Anhui University of Technology(Social Sciences), 2020, 37(5): 9-13. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-9247.2020.05.002
Citation: LI Jun, ZHOU Ling. Analysis of Population Evolution of Anhui Province from 2000 to 2015 Based on Township Units[J]. Journal of Anhui University of Technology(Social Sciences), 2020, 37(5): 9-13. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1671-9247.2020.05.002

基于乡镇单元的安徽省2000-2015年人口演变分析

Analysis of Population Evolution of Anhui Province from 2000 to 2015 Based on Township Units

  • 摘要: 基于2000年、2010年和2015年乡镇街道人口数据,分别以城区整体、城/郊和乡镇街道3个尺度单元,计算各单元人口总量及增长率,利用空间聚类与分类法分析安徽人口变化特征。结果发现:从城区整体看,人口向包括设区市和县级市在内的城区集中的态势显著,以人口增长极合肥城区为中心,以合肥与周边主要县市的交通线为人口集聚轴,形成典型的放射状点轴空间结构。从城/郊分区看,合肥、芜湖和黄山处于稳定的相对扩散阶段,徽州与宣城处于稳定的集聚阶段,其它设区市处于相对集聚与相对扩散之间。对乡镇单元,增幅最高且增长稳定的乡镇位于城区半小时车程内或省域城市人口集聚轴上,且境内设有工业园;少数地域中心或特色乡镇获得了稳定的人口增长,但增长亦很有限。

     

    Abstract: Based on the population data of township streets in 2000, 2010 and 2015, this paper calculates the total population and growth rate of each unit in three scale units:the whole city, the city/suburb and the township streets, and analyzes the characteristics of population change in Anhui Province by using spatial clustering and classification. The results show that:from the perspective of the whole urban area, the trend of population concentration to the urban areas including the cities divided into districts and county-level cities is significant, with the urban area of Hefei as the center of population growth pole, and the traffic lines between Hefei and the surrounding major counties and cities as the population gathering axis, forming a typical radial point axis spatial structure. From the perspective of urban/suburban zoning, Hefei, Wuhu and Huangshan are in a stable stage of relative diffusion, Huizhou and Xuancheng are in a stable stage of agglomeration, and other cities are between relative agglomeration and relative diffusion. For township units, the township with the highest growth rate and stable growth is located within half an hour's drive of urban area or on the axis of provincial urban population concentration, and there are industrial parks in the territory; a few regional centers or characteristic towns have achieved stable population growth, but the growth is also very limited.

     

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